President Donald Trump has subtly abandoned his attempt to win back a major constituency with the exaggeration and last attempt that triggered his 2016 victory: white women.
Along with
rival Joe Biden, who tapped a black woman to join him on the Democratic ticket,
Trump is trying to blame female voters - using tweets and 11th-hour policy
programs designed to play potential fears. About their families and
communities.
They made
changes to affordable-housing regulations - telling "suburban
housewives" to "protect" their neighborhoods and keep low-income
housing projects. He erroneously warned that Biden should protect the police to
curb uncontrolled crime - and soon spread to the suburbs. She insisted that
schools be fully reopened - hoping to win over women who are struggling to look
after their children. And this week, the bright pink "Women for
Trump" bus traveled across the country with planned stops in places like
Florida, Pennsylvania’ and Wisconsin.
"Suburban
housewives" vote for me, "Trump said on Twitter on Wednesday."
They want security and I ended a long-term program where low-income homes would
attack their neighborhoods. "
This is an existential issue for Trump’s political future. In 2016, Trump won a
significant population with 27 percentage points - white women without college
degrees. By May, according to an ABC / Washington Post poll, Biden Trump had
closed the gap to just 6 points. More broadly, in 2016, Trump won suburban
voters, from 49 percent to 45 percent, but lost that margin, according to
polling data.
Yet Trump’s
unbridled over-hobbies for women are driving some Republican polluters to
question his gamblers, especially his narcissistic predictions about mass crime
coming to the suburbs and undermining suburban property values. To force income
homes. Suburban women who left Trump’s Republican Party in 2018 - many of whom
have college degrees, earned above average and voted first Republican - have
won back with such racially divisive rhetoric.
Republican
pollster Christine Mathews said: "They think this campaign is a threat and
they think they can get people back, but it's not Democratic candidate Joe
Biden and it's Bernie Saunders. “They are managing COVID successfully and the
economy is in good shape. It is very little they can say because both of
these are not true. It leaves them in fear of Biden," he said.
At a rally in
Phoenix in late June, Trump began publicly appealing to suburban voters, saying
"conflicts and dissent" would touch every suburb if Biden was elected’.
Over the next few weeks, Trump’s suburban areas became more vivid, disgusting,
and distinctive.
Trump has a
woman queue card from a recent campaign describing voter biden as color and
real life, with her “vulnerability” as a person who “adopted leftist policies”.
"
On Wednesday
night, Trump warned at a news conference that Democrats were "going to
destroy the subcontinent, in my opinion."
“You want
where people want to be,” he said. ''
Retaining
female voters who were previously primarily an economic pitch is part of a
broader Trump team - before the coronavirus epidemic, the unemployment rate for
women fell to historic lows, with many new jobs going to women. And for the
second time in American history only more than women in the workforce.
Trump's
campaign adviser, Mercedes Schlapp, said, "Whether you like her tweets or
her tone or her policies are not good for women."
In the post-epidemic world those benefits will look different, however, as
unemployment is rising, businesses are closing and economists are waiting a
long way to pre-epidemic data.
Biden also
changed the dynamic when he elected Harris on Tuesday. Democrats hope Harris
will help activate moderate voters and women - especially suburban women - in
November. Trump on Wednesday called Harris "bad" and
"angry."
Commenting on
Harris' failed presidential campaign, Trump said, "She's angry, she's gone
crazy. There is no one more abusive than Biden." "He said terrible
things about her."
Over the past
few decades, both parties have aggressively chosen suburban voters. The voting
coalition has a higher than average education and is politically equally
divided. In the 2016 election, Trump won suburban voters with nearly 5 percent
of the points.
According to
USA Today, in 2018, Democrats will be the key suburban and women voters to win
nearly 30 states and control the House.
Those areas
will not return to Trump. And especially suburban women have not come in the
last two months due to presidential appeals. In fact, recent polling from
Politico and Morning Consulting saw a drop in support among suburban women,
dropping from 37 to 34 percent in two recent elections.
Yet there is
another significant population that is equally divided’ than suburban women:
more than 50 percent of non-college-educated women.
Democrat
Polster Selinda Lake, who has ties to the Biden campaign, described the population as a "guardian woman" and voted in favor of the group, The
subcommittee split its vote for Mitt Romney and Barack Obama in 2012, and then
into Hillary Clinton and Trump in 2016. Recently, however, they have leaned
towards Biden.
Lake said
security is a top value for these potential voters, many of whom are caring for
aging parents or children.
Trump’s
pandemic message directly addresses all of these issues.
A recent Trump
campaign statement warned that Biden's desire to humiliate the police - a
policy that Biden does not support - would leave 911 unanswered calls. The
president shatters images of urban peace, with the Herald protesting chaos in
the suburbs amid peaceful racial injustice. Similarly, Trump is urging parents
to keep schools fully open, arguing what parents and women want.
"The
president continues to prioritize education and school choice, ensuring that
every child gets a quality education regardless of their pin code and that
their administration actively reopens our schools, actively working to find a
way to introduce children and parents into the classroom. Go back to
work," said Trump campaign adviser Laura. Trump said, “Women for Trump.”
Stopping the bus trip. "President Trump can be trusted that women across
the country will put themselves and their families first."
Lake argues
that the poll shows that these "parent women" who are equally divided
are kept’ away from Trump's epistemological rhetoric.
"They see
their employment as protecting their families and communities, and Trump's
inconsistent leadership style, no planning, not listening to experts really
makes that task even more difficult," he said. And they are upset,” she
said.
For example,
while mothers want their children to return to school, teachers and many
medical professionals warn that the rise in coronavirus cases is now making
classrooms dangerous. Sarah Long well, founder of Republican Voters Against
Trump, a coalition of anti-Trump Republicans, former Republicans, and
conservatives who hurt women. Longwell has focused on female swing voters over
the past couple of years.
“The tendency
of the administration is that people want their children back in school, they
definitely do,” she said. “These women want to know the plan that will keep
them safe. What we are doing is frustrating people, especially children and
women who are burdened’ with children. "
In particular,
Longwell said, Trump
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